The June Meeting Has Been Postponed A Week to June 13th
We hope this is not inconvenient..
There will be no July meeting.
Agenda for June 13, 2009 TigerSoft User Group Meeting.
(Visit our website - www.tigersoft.com - for more details.)
BEAR MARKET RALLY OR NEW BULL MARKET?
MARKET HISTORY HAS A LOT TO TEACH US
Peerless Buys, Sells and Sell Shorts have gained +96% over the last year using the ETFs for the DJIA-30 - DIA and DOG.
We use technical analysis to derive automatic Buys and Sells. It's quite amazing how often history nearly repeats itself if you know what to look for. Let's look under the hood of our Peerless Stock Market Timing, as it were, and see what we need to see now to become really bullish.
What are the technical tools we use? Price Patterns. Volume, Breadth,
TigerSoft Accumulation vs Distribution, TigerSoft Openening versus Closing Power and Relative Strength. Let's make sure the rationale for these is clear.
First, we need to study markets that are down more than 45% from their highs, as now. That leaves only 3 periods: 1929-1933, 1937-1938 and 1939-1942.
What are the technical conditions that launched serious rallies in this period.
November 1929 (yes - after the Crashj ... +48% rally followed.
July 1932 ... +94% rally in 9 weeks
April 1933 ... +99% rally in 12 weeks.
May 1937 ... +48% rally in 5 months
April 1942 ... end of 30 month bear market.
Tiger's Peerless did give a Buy signal at 6926 on 3/10/2009. We got a Buy B12, the most bullish signal we have, on 4/3/2009 with the DJI at 8018. The NYSE and NASDAQ breadth numbers (advances-declines) have been extraordinarily positive. There is no precedent for how one-sided the numbers have been!
Volume remains low. The broad public does not believe this rally.
Insiders, on the other hand, are clearly buying stocks that they think look cheap. Banks like Goldman Sachs are using TARP bailout money to buy stocks, rather than make loans. So, they are speculating with your money! They think they can get the public, who is not yet in the market, to chase the rally and buy at 9000 or 10000 on the DJI when good economic news starts coming out. And with the profits they make from
their market speculation, they can pay back their loans! What a deal!
If they lose, they must think that they can get still more bailout money!
Bear market rallies often last 10 weeks. How much higher can we go even if this is a bear market rally. The ten weeks is nowup. It will be interesting!
Our Peerless study of stock market history is ever -illuminating. Breadth is better than at any time since 1926 for coming off a bottom.
Stock market bottoms since 1915 can be classified by trading patterns and how many tests of the lows are needed before rallying. What does this study teach us to expect now and to look for?
What is the key seasonality factor about to hit the market?
What are the safest hedging approaches to use right now?
What is the single best short-selling technique to use now?
LUNCH at CAFETERIA - 1:30 to 2:00
What stocks look like they could lead a new bull market? So far, many, high Accumulation, low priced stocks have done very well. Go to http://www.tigersoftw....
to see some of them
What Is The Best Screening Approach Now for Individual Stocks?
TigerSoft readily shows the best trading system for any given stock and then displays its red Buys and Sells. It then displays the gains achieved had one traded the signals, buying, selling and selling short; or if someone likes, what the gains were only buying and selling. There is no guarantee that the future will work out like the past, of course, but stocks do have personalities, because each stock attracts a certain type of person, trader or investor. And so the trading patterns are likely to continue. The best trading system may continue to work for years, known only to professionals controlling the stock and TigerSoft users. )
We show how to use TigerSoft's">TigerSoft's Closing Power and Accumulation Index to track what insiders and big mutual funds are doing with the stock or index you have selected.
Insiders know a lot more than the general public does. TigerSoft's unique indicators show clearly whether these insiders are buying or selling and when that trend is changing. Look for big bulges of insider buying to find the best stocks and very big dips of insider selling to find the stocks that are the most vulnerable.
TigerSoft users can readily find stocks that are controlled in this fashion by noting what is the basis of the best trading system for these stocks. It lists all stocks' best trading systems and gains. When this particular system is the best system and it is highly productive, we recommend using it.
This will be a very full agenda. Come early. We look forward to seeing you. Sign up and introduce yourself. I look forward to meeting you.
Bill - visit www.tigersoft.com and see what's new.
Talk about this Meetup
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